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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Hilary Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP092023
400 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2023
 
...HILARY EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...13.7N 103.7W
ABOUT 370 MI...590 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this
system.  Watches will likely be required for a portion of that area
as soon as this evening.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hilary was 
located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 103.7 West. Hilary is 
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). This general 
motion is expected to continue with a gradual turn to the northwest 
by Friday followed by a turn to the north-northwest on Saturday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast for the next few days.
Hilary is expected to become a hurricane on Thursday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Large swells generated by Hilary will affect portions of the
coast of southwestern Mexico and the Baja California peninsula over
the next few days.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci
 
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