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TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082023
1500 UTC TUE AUG 15 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 145.9W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 145.9W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 145.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.4N 147.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  15SE  15SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 11.9N 150.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  15SE  15SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 12.4N 152.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  15SE  15SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 12.6N 155.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  15SE  15SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 12.4N 157.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  10SE  10SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 12.1N 160.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 11.3N 165.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 145.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/JELSEMA
 
 
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