ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE DORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052023               
1500 UTC SUN AUG 06 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120  
KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.                                           
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 145W       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 145W       34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
10N 150W       34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
15N 150W       34  X   1( 1)  10(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   8(19)   X(19)   X(19)
15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
10N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)   1(23)   X(23)
10N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
10N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)   2(27)   X(27)
15N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
15N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
10N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   X(16)
10N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
10N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
15N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  37(40)   X(40)
15N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)
15N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)
 
JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   7(22)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
JOHNSTON ISL   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
10N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)
10N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
15N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  36(36)  23(59)
15N 170W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  17(28)
15N 170W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)
 
10N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
15N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  55(56)
15N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)
15N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY                                              
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