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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP052023
1500 UTC THU AUG 10 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 171.5W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 171.5W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 170.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 13.0N 173.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   5SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.2N 176.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   5SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.6N 179.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   5SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.7N 177.7E
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.7N 175.2E
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   5SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.2N 172.8E
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  10SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 19.1N 168.5E
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 20.9N 164.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 171.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FOSTER/BIRCHARD
 
 
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