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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052023
0300 UTC TUE AUG 01 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 105.3W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 105.3W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 104.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.9N 107.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.9N 110.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.6N 112.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.2N 115.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.7N 118.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.2N 121.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 13.3N 126.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 12.9N 132.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 105.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BLAKE
 
 
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