ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Post-Tropical Cyclone Adrian Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012023 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 02 2023 This has been no deep convection associated with Adrian for over 12 hours, and it is doubtful that any organized convection will return. Therefore, Adrian is now a post-tropical remnant low and this will be the final NHC advisory on this system. The initial intensity is lowered to 25 kt, based on satellite-estimated surface winds. The remnant low should continue to gradually spin down over the cooler sea surface temperatures and open into a trough of low pressure during the next couple of days. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous one and close to the intensity model consensus. Adrian is moving west-northwestward at about 6 kt. The remnant low should make a gradual turn to the west over the next couple of days in the low-level flow and model guidance suggests it will likely open into a trough of low pressure beyond day 2. This is the final NHC advisory of Adrian. For additional information on the remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/2100Z 19.9N 117.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 03/0600Z 20.2N 118.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 03/1800Z 20.3N 120.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 04/0600Z 20.3N 121.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 04/1800Z 20.2N 123.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 18-Dec-2023 12:09:54 UTC