ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Depression Adrian Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012023 800 AM PDT Sun Jul 02 2023 Adrian is nearly post-tropical, having produced no deep convection for about 8 hours. Post-tropical transition will likely conclude later today since the depression is moving over cooler waters. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt based on the ASCAT pass mentioned in the previous advisory. Without deep convection to sustain it, Adrian should gradually weaken and dissipate over the next couple of days or so. The official intensity prediction is nearly identical to the previous one. The tropical depression is moving west-northwestward away from the Baja California peninsula at about 6 kt. The low-level trade winds should slowly turn the cyclone westward over the next couple of days. The NHC track forecast is again near the various consensus aids and no changes of note were made from the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/1500Z 19.5N 116.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 03/0000Z 19.9N 117.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 03/1200Z 20.1N 119.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 04/0000Z 20.1N 120.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 04/1200Z 20.0N 122.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 18-Dec-2023 12:09:54 UTC