ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Depression Adrian Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012023 200 AM PDT Sun Jul 02 2023 Adrian's structure continues decaying. Most of the remaining deep convection that was displaced to the northwest of the low-level center has dissipated. In response, both subjective and objective intensity estimates continue to decrease. In addition, an 0519 UTC ASCAT-B pass over Adrian had a peak wind retrieval of only 30-kt. Based primarily on the scatterometer data, Adrian is being downgraded to a tropical depression this advisory with 30-kt winds. Further weakening is anticipated in a dry and stable environment with sea-surface temperatures below 24 C that cool further along the cyclone's track. If deep convection does not return later today, Adrian could be declared a post-tropical remnant low as soon as this afternoon. Adrian continues moving west-northwestward at about 300/6 kt. This motion should continue with a gradual turn westward, following the trade wind flow south of a low-level anticyclone. The latest NHC track is quite similar to the prior one, and lies near the various consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/0900Z 19.3N 116.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 02/1800Z 19.7N 117.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 03/0600Z 20.1N 118.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 03/1800Z 20.2N 120.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 04/0600Z 20.1N 121.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Papin NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 18-Dec-2023 12:09:54 UTC