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TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202023
1500 UTC FRI OCT 27 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  61.1W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  20SE  20SW  80NW.
34 KT.......140NE  80SE  80SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 760SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  61.1W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  61.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 32.4N  61.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 32.7N  59.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 32.0N  54.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 30.7N  51.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N  50.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 27.5N  50.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N  61.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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