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HURRICANE TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202023
0300 UTC SAT OCT 21 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  60.2W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  30SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  60.2W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  59.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.8N  61.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.3N  62.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.8N  63.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.0N  63.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.4N  64.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.4N  64.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 24.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 27.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N  60.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 21/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
  
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