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TROPICAL STORM TAMMY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202023
0900 UTC FRI OCT 20 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  58.3W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE   0SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE  90SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  58.3W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  57.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.7N  59.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.9N  60.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.3N  61.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.8N  62.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.3N  63.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.7N  63.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 24.3N  61.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.8N  58.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  58.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 20/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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