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TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082023
2100 UTC FRI AUG 25 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  67.0W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  67.0W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N  67.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 22.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 22.8N  66.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 23.8N  66.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 25.4N  67.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 27.3N  68.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 29.2N  68.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 33.0N  67.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 37.8N  62.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N  67.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BLAKE
 
 
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