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TROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052023
1500 UTC FRI JUL 21 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N  46.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N  46.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  46.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 36.9N  48.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 38.8N  49.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 41.1N  50.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 43.7N  50.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 46.1N  49.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 48.4N  45.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N  46.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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