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TROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052023
2100 UTC WED JUL 19 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  40.3W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  40.3W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  39.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.7N  41.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.1N  42.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 34.8N  44.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 35.9N  46.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 37.2N  47.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.0N  48.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 43.0N  48.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 45.5N  44.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N  40.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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