ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM DON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052023
1500 UTC SAT JUL 15 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  48.8W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.5N  48.8W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N  48.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 37.8N  48.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 39.1N  48.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 39.5N  46.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 39.3N  44.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 38.4N  42.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.8N  41.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 33.9N  41.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 33.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.5N  48.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
NNNN