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HURRICANE ROSLYN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192022
1500 UTC SUN OCT 23 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
LAS ISLAS MARIAS.  ALL WARNINGS SOUTH OF PUNTA MITA HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED AS WELL AS THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM ESCUINAPA TO
MAZATLAN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA MITA TO ESCUINAPA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ESCUINAPA TO MAZATLAN
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 105.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 105.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 24.9N 103.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.6N 101.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 105.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 23/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/BROWN
 
 
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