ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Post-Tropical Cyclone Madeline Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142022 300 PM MDT Tue Sep 20 2022 Madeline has lacked organized deep convection for about 16 hours and it is unlikely to redevelop any in the future. Therefore, the system has become a post-tropical remnant low and this will be the final NHC advisory on Madeline. A recent scatterometer overpass supports maintaining the initial intensity at 30 kt for this advisory. The remnant low should gradually spin down over the next few days and is expected to open up into a trough by the end of the forecast period. The depression is moving just north of west at 280/5 kt. This general motion is expected to continue with a gradual turn to the west-southwest moving with the low-level steering flow. The NHC track forecast remains close to the multi-model consensus aids. This is the final NHC advisory for Madeline. For additional information on the remnant, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/2100Z 21.3N 112.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 21/0600Z 21.4N 113.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 21/1800Z 21.6N 115.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 22/0600Z 21.6N 116.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 22/1800Z 21.4N 117.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 23/0600Z 21.2N 119.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 23/1800Z 21.0N 121.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 24/1800Z 20.6N 124.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 25/1800Z 20.2N 128.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Bucci/Jelsema NNNN
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