ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Post-Tropical Cyclone Kay Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122022 800 PM PDT Fri Sep 09 2022 Kay has been devoid of deep convection just about all day (about the past 15 hours), and it no longer meets the organized deep convection criteria needed for a tropical cyclone. Therefore, Kay is now considered a post-tropical cyclone, and since all coastal tropical storm warnings have been discontinued, this is the last advisory on this system. The initial intensity is held at 35 kt. The low has now turned to the west-northwest, and a turn to the southwest and then the south is expected this weekend and early next week as the cyclone weakens while moving within the low-level flow. Even though Kay is no longer a tropical cyclone, this system is still producing heavy rains across portions of northern Baja California and southern California. In addition, strong winds not directly associated with Kay's core wind field are still occurring across portions of southern California and extreme southwestern Arizona. For more information on the wind hazard, see products from your local NWS Weather Forecast Office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/0300Z 31.3N 118.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 10/1200Z 31.4N 120.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 11/0000Z 31.4N 120.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 11/1200Z 31.2N 121.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 12/0000Z 30.5N 122.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 12/1200Z 29.6N 121.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 13/0000Z 29.0N 121.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN
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