ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Storm Frank Discussion Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072022 800 AM PDT Tue Aug 02 2022 Organized deep convection associated with Frank ceased overnight, and the tropical storm should become post-tropical very soon. The weakening cyclone is moving northwest near 10 kt, and should gradually bend toward the north over the next 36 h, then north-northeast by Thursday, steered primarily by the low-level flow. The latest TAFB Dvorak Current Intensity estimate is 35 kt, so the initial intensity is set at that value. Continued weakening will occur over the next few days while Frank gradually spins down over cold water with little or no convection to sustain it. Dissipation is forecast by nearly all of the dynamical models near or just after 60 h. No changes of note were made to the NHC track or intensity forecasts, both of which are near the model consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/1500Z 24.8N 125.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 03/0000Z 26.1N 126.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 03/1200Z 28.0N 127.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 04/0000Z 30.0N 127.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 04/1200Z 32.0N 127.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 05/0000Z 33.7N 126.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky NNNN
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