ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Post-Tropical Cyclone Estelle Discussion Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062022 200 PM PDT Thu Jul 21 2022 Estelle has not produced a significant amount of deep convection for the past 12 hours or so. Therefore the system no longer qualifies as a tropical cyclone and this will be the last advisory. The remnant low of Estelle should continue to gradually spin down and degenerate into a trough by this weekend. This is consistent with the forecasts from global models. Visible satellite imagery shows that the low-level center is a little farther south of the previous track forecast. The updated prediction reflects this slight southward shift. The post-tropical cyclone should move westward or a little north of westward in the low-level winds for the next couple of days. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/2100Z 22.3N 126.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 22/0600Z 22.6N 127.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 22/1800Z 22.9N 129.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 23/0600Z 23.1N 130.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 23/1800Z 23.3N 132.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch/Bucci NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2022 12:09:59 UTC