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HURRICANE BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
2100 UTC THU JUL 07 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 115.3W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 115.3W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 114.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.1N 117.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.7N 121.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.3N 124.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.6N 128.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.8N 131.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 19.9N 135.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 115.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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