ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM BLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022022 1500 UTC TUE JUN 14 2022 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 10N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 105W 34 1 5( 6) 24(30) 36(66) 9(75) X(75) X(75) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 26(30) 8(38) X(38) X(38) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) X(18) X(18) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) L CARDENAS 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 100W 34 3 5( 8) 4(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ACAPULCO 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 9(24) X(24) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 2(27) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BUCCI NNNN
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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2022 12:09:47 UTC