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Hurricane AGATHA (Text)


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Hurricane Agatha Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012022
700 PM CDT Mon May 30 2022
 
...AGATHA CONTINUING TO PRODUCE HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS OVER 
SOUTHERN MEXICO...

 
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 96.4W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan
* Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Agatha was located
near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 96.4 West. Agatha is moving
toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion 
is expected to continue through Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of Agatha will continue to move inland over Oaxaca through
early Tuesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is expected as the hurricane 
moves farther inland.  Agatha is forecast to weaken to a tropical 
storm tonight, and dissipate over southeastern Mexico by late 
Tuesday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90
miles (150 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions will continue to spread inland within a
portion of the hurricane warning area through this evening.
Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area through this
evening.  Tropical storm conditions will spread eastward within the
warning area through tonight.
 
STORM SURGE:  Storm surge is expected to produce extremely dangerous
coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of
where the center of Agatha makes landfall.  Near the coast, the
surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern
Mexico through Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are
currently expected:
 
Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
 
Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
 
Mexican states of Veracruz, Tabasco and eastern portions of
Guerrero: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches
possible.
 
SURF:  Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of
southern Mexico through Tuesday.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Blake
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2022 12:09:44 UTC