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BULLETIN
Hurricane Agatha Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012022
1000 AM CDT Sun May 29 2022
 
...AGATHA RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING...
...ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED BEFORE THE HURRICANE REACHES
THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO ON MONDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 99.0W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM WSW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan
* Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
Interests elsewhere in southern Mexico should closely monitor the
progress of Agatha.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Agatha was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 99.0 West. Agatha is
moving toward the north-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h).  A turn
toward the northeast is expected later today, with a motion toward 
the northeast continuing through Monday night.  On the forecast 
track, the center of Agatha will approach the southern coast of 
Mexico later today and tonight and make landfall there on Monday.
 
Agatha is rapidly strengthening.  Maximum sustained winds have 
increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts.  Additional 
strengthening is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours and Agatha 
is forecast to be near major hurricane strength when it reaches the 
coast of southern Mexico on Monday. 
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning
area and possibly in the watch area on Monday, with tropical storm
conditions beginning tonight or early Monday.
 
STORM SURGE:  Storm surge is expected to produce dangerous coastal
flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where the
center of Agatha makes landfall.  Near the coast, the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.
 
RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern
Mexico through Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are
currently expected:
 
Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
 
Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
 
Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches,
with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible.
Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.
 
Mexican states of VeraCruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated
maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.
 
SURF:  Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of
southern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 
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