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TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012022
2100 UTC SAT MAY 28 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM SALINA
CRUZ TO LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE
WATCH FROM SALINA CRUZ TO BARRA DE TONALA...AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM BARRA DE TONALA TO BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN AND FROM
LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA TO PUNTA MALDONADO
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ TO LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ EASTWARD TO BARRA DE TONALA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ EASTWARD TO BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN
* LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO PUNTA MALDONADO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF AGATHA.  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  98.1W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  98.1W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  98.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.0N  98.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 14.4N  98.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 14.9N  97.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 15.7N  96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 100SE  80SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.5N  95.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT... 30NE  70SE  70SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.5N  94.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  98.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 29/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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