ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172022 0900 UTC TUE NOV 08 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE ABACOS...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANDROS ISLAND...NEW PROVIDENCE...AND ELEUTHERA IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * HALLANDALE BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH PALM BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA * MOUTH OF THE ST. JOHNS RIVER TO GEORGETOWN FLORIDA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HALLANDALE BEACH TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH OF NORTH PALM BEACH TO HALLANDALE BEACH FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTH OF HALLANDALE BEACH TO NORTH OF OCEAN REEF FLORIDA * NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FLORIDA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE REMAINDER OF FLORIDA...AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NICOLE. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 71.6W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......240NE 240SE 0SW 330NW. 12 FT SEAS..480NE 270SE 180SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 71.6W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 71.3W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 27.6N 73.3W...TROPICAL STORM MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...320NE 120SE 60SW 420NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 27.0N 75.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...400NE 120SE 90SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.9N 77.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...400NE 90SE 90SW 320NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.6N 79.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 80NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...320NE 90SE 90SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.0N 82.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...210NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 30.9N 83.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...240NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 38.8N 76.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 71.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 08/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG NNNN
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