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TROPICAL STORM LISA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152022
0900 UTC THU NOV 03 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LISA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  90.1W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  90.1W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  89.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.9N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.4N  93.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.2N  94.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.9N  95.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.2N  95.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.8N  94.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  90.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 03/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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