ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022
0900 UTC THU SEP 29 2022
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 3(22) X(22) X(22)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 19(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 21(28) 4(32) X(32) X(32)
CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 7(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 6( 6) 24(30) 5(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 11(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 16(16) 33(49) 2(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FLORENCE SC 34 X 3( 3) 36(39) 20(59) 2(61) X(61) X(61)
FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 23(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 17(17) 40(57) 6(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 18(19) 44(63) 6(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 1 12(13) 56(69) 8(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
CHARLESTON SC 34 10 26(36) 46(82) 3(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 22(22) 7(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 15 25(40) 37(77) 2(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 1( 1) 20(21) 3(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA GA 34 1 1( 2) 11(13) 12(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
SAVANNAH GA 34 14 17(31) 27(58) 3(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WAYCROSS GA 34 16 6(22) 4(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 41 3(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 14 2(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
MIAMI FL 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MARATHON FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KEY WEST FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NAPLES FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT MYERS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
VENICE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ST MARKS FL 34 4 X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
APALACHICOLA 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 12 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2022 12:09:27 UTC