ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fiona Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072022
800 PM AST Fri Sep 16 2022
 
...CENTER OF FIONA VERY NEAR GUADELOUPE...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS 
PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 61.5W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM ESE OF ST. CROIX
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, and Anguilla
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin
* Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Dominica
* South coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to
Barahona
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to
Cabo Frances Viejo
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola should monitor the progress of
Fiona.  Additional watches or warnings could be required tonight or
on Saturday.
 
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fiona was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 61.5 West.  Fiona is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A westward to
west-northwestward motion with a decrease in forward speed is
expected through early Monday.  A turn toward the northwest is
forecast later on Monday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Fiona is expected to move near or just south of the Virgin Islands 
and Puerto Rico Saturday into Sunday, and approach the southern or 
eastern coast of the Dominican Republic Sunday afternoon.  Fiona is 
forecast to move across the Dominican Republic Sunday night and 
Monday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast until the center of Fiona 
reaches the Dominican Republic on Sunday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.  A wind gust of 44 mph (70 km/h) was recently 
reported at VC Bird International Airport in Antigua.
 
Observations from Guadeloupe indicate that the minimum central
pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Fiona can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions 
of the Leeward Islands within the warning area through Saturday.  
Tropical storm conditions will spread westward to the U.S. and 
British Virgin Islands Saturday morning, and across Puerto Rico 
Saturday afternoon and Saturday night.  Tropical storm conditions 
are possible on Dominica during the next several hours and across 
the watch area in the Dominican Republic beginning Sunday afternoon.
 
RAINFALL:  Fiona is forecast to produce the following rainfall
totals:
 
Leeward Islands and Northern Windward Islands: 3 to 6 inches.
 
British and U.S. Virgin Islands: 4 to 6 inches
 
Puerto Rico: 4 to 8 inches with maximum totals of 12 inches,
particularly across eastern and southern Puerto Rico.
 
Dominican Republic: 6 to 10 inches with maximum totals of 16 inches
possible
 
Haiti: 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches
 
Turks and Caicos: 4 to 8 inches
 
These rains may produce flash and urban flooding, along with
mudslides in areas of higher terrain, particularly southern and
eastern Puerto Rico and the eastern Dominican Republic.
 
STORM SURGE:  The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas
in areas of onshore winds if the peak surge occurs at the time of
high tide...
 
Southern coast of Puerto Rico...1 to 2 ft
 
Localized coastal flooding is also possible elsewhere in Puerto
Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.  For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.
 
Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet
above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds in the Dominican Republic.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Fiona are affecting the Leeward and
northern Windward Islands, and are beginning to reach the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico. Swells will then reach the northern coast
of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the southeastern
Bahamas over the weekend.  These conditions could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
 
NNNN