ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Post-Tropical Cyclone Kevin Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112021 800 AM PDT Thu Aug 12 2021 A little bit of convection continues to persist about 200 n mi to the southwest of Kevin's center, but at that distance, it is not considered organized in relation to the cyclone. In fact, Kevin has had this structure for a good 18 hours or so, and it has therefore degenerated into a remnant low. Based on last evening's ASCAT passes, it is assumed that winds as high as 30 kt are still occurring within the circulation. However, the center will be moving over waters colder than 23 degrees Celsius very soon, so a gradual decrease in the winds is expected over the next couple of days. Dissipation of the remnant low in expected in about 3 days. Kevin is moving toward the west-northwest, or 300/12 kt. The remnant low is expected to move along the southwestern periphery of a low- to mid-level ridge centered over the United States and Mexico, which should cause a west-northwestward or northwestward motion until dissipation. There is very little spread in the track guidance, and this last NHC track forecast is just an update of the previous one. This is the last advisory being issued for Kevin. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/1500Z 23.2N 120.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 13/0000Z 24.2N 122.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 13/1200Z 25.5N 124.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 14/0000Z 27.0N 126.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 14/1200Z 28.7N 128.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 15/0000Z 30.2N 129.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 31-Dec-2021 12:09:59 UTC