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HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062021
1500 UTC FRI JUL 16 2021

CORRECTED 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 121.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 121.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 121.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.8N 122.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.6N 124.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.6N 126.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.7N 127.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 14.8N 129.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 14.8N 131.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 14.4N 135.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 13.7N 138.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 121.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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