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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 18A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
1200 PM MDT Tue Jun 29 2021
 
...POORLY-ORGANIZED ENRIQUE BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 108.0W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM E OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was 
located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 108.0 West. Enrique is 
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general 
motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days. On the 
forecast track, the center of Enrique is expected to move near or 
over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula tonight or 
Wednesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Enrique is 
forecast to dissipate by Wednesday night.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center, mainly in the eastern semicircle.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Enrique can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area over 
southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula beginning 
tonight.
 
RAINFALL: Enrique is expected to produce additional rainfall totals
of 3 to 6 inches with maximum amounts of 10 inches across Sinola,
western Durango and southern Chihuahua in western Mexico.  Rainfall
totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches
are possible across the southern portions of Baja California Sur.
Combined with the rain that had already fallen, these additional
amounts may trigger new flash flooding and mudslides.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern 
coast of Mexico, as well as portions of the Gulf of California and 
the coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next 
couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening 
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your 
local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
 
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