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Hurricane Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
100 PM CDT Sun Jun 27 2021
 
...CORE OF ENRIQUE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.8N 105.7W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Punta Mita Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Mita to San Blas Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was 
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 105.7 West. Enrique has 
moved a little east of north over the past few hours near 7 mph (11 
km/h).  A turn toward the north-northwest and then northwest is 
expected to begin by tonight. That general motion should continue 
thereafter for a few days. On the forecast track, the core of the 
hurricane, along with the strongest winds, should remain just 
offshore of southwestern Mexico through tonight.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some slight strengthening is possible through tonight.
Enrique is then expected to begin weakening on Monday and continue
to weaken through early this week.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125
miles (205 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Hurricane Enrique can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are occuring in portions of the
warning area and will continue to spread northwestward within the
warning area through tonight.  Hurricane conditions are possible by
tonight in the Hurricane Watch area.  Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area today and Monday.
 
RAINFALL:  Through Tuesday, the eastern outer bands of Enrique are
expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 6 to 12 inches with
isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches over Colima and coastal
sections of Jalisco, Michoacan, and northern Guerrero in southwest
Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-threatening flash
flooding and mudslides over portions of southwestern Mexico.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Latto/Stewart
 
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