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Hurricane ENRIQUE (Text)


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Hurricane Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
700 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021
 
...OUTER RAINBANDS OF ENRIQUE MOVING ONSHORE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN 
COAST OF MEXICO... 
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 105.9W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 475 MI...770 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo Corrientes to San Blas Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch may be required for portions of the southwestern
coast of Mexico later tonight or tomorrow.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
Recent satellite data indicate that the center of Enrique is 
located slightly south of earlier estimates.  At 700 PM CDT (0000 
UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was located near latitude 
17.1 North, longitude 105.9 West. Enrique is moving toward the 
west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn to the northwest is 
expected later tonight with the storm maintaining a northwest 
heading for the next several days. On the forecast track, the core 
of Enrique is expected to remain offshore roughly parallel to the 
southwestern coast of Mexico during the next several days.
 
Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible in the short term, but 
Enrique is expected to begin weakening early next week as it begins 
moving over cooler waters.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Hurricane Enrique can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO header WTPZ45
KNHC, and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are likely occuring in portions 
of the warning area.  These winds are expected to spread westward 
within the warning area tonight and through the weekend. Tropical 
storm conditions are possible in the watch area on Sunday.
 
RAINFALL:  Through Monday, Enrique is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches over Colima and coastal sections of Michoacan and Jalisco in
southwest Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides over portions of
southwestern Mexico.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown/Berg
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Friday, 03-Dec-2021 12:09:42 UTC