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Hurricane ENRIQUE (Text)


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BULLETIN
Hurricane Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
100 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021
 
...ENRIQUE EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 105.6W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo Corrientes to San Blas Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch may be required for portions of the southwestern
coast of Mexico later today.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was
located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 105.6 West. Enrique is
moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn to the
northwest with a gradual slowdown in forward motion is expected over
the next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Enrique
is expected to remain offshore roughly parallel to the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next several days.
 
Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Additional intensification is expected today, and Enrique is 
forecast to become a category 2 hurricane by Sunday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Hurricane Enrique can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO
header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web
at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are likely occuring in the eastern
portions of the warning area.  These winds are expected to spread
westward within the warning area tonight and through the weekend.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area on Sunday.
 
RAINFALL:  Through Monday, Enrique is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches over Colima and coastal sections of Michoacan and Jalisco in
southwest Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides over portions of
southwestern Mexico.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Friday, 03-Dec-2021 12:09:42 UTC