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Hurricane ENRIQUE (Text)


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Hurricane Enrique Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
700 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021
 
...ENRIQUE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH SUNDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 105.0W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo Corrientes to San Blas Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch may be required for portions of the southwestern
coast of Mexico later today.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was 
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 105.0 West. Enrique is 
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).  The storm 
is forecast to gradually slow down and turn toward the northwest 
tonight or Sunday, and then continue on a northwesterly heading 
through Monday.  On the forecast track, the core of Enrique is 
expected to remain offshore roughly parallel to the southwestern 
coast of Mexico during the next two to three days.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or 
so, and Enrique is forecast to become a category 2 hurricane by 
Sunday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Enrique can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO
header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web
at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are likely occuring in the eastern 
portions of the warning area.  These winds are expected to spread 
westward within the warning area tonight and through the weekend.  
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area on Sunday.
 
RAINFALL:  Through Monday, Enrique is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches over Colima and coastal sections of Michoacan and Jalisco in
southwest Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides over portions of
southwestern Mexico.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely 
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Friday, 03-Dec-2021 12:09:42 UTC