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Hurricane ENRIQUE (Text)


ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Enrique Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052021
1000 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021
 
...ENRIQUE CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE BY SUNDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 105.3W
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo Corrientes to San Blas Mexico
 
A Hurricane Watch may be required for portions of the southwestern
coast of Mexico later today.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Enrique was 
located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 105.3 West. Enrique is 
moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn to the 
northwest with a gradual slowdown in forward motion is expected over 
the next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Enrique 
is expected to remain offshore roughly parallel to the southwestern 
coast of Mexico during the next several days.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Additional intensification is expected today, and 
Enrique is forecast to become a category 2 hurricane by Sunday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Hurricane Enrique can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5, WMO
header WTPZ45 KNHC, and on the web
at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are likely occuring in the eastern 
portions of the warning area.  These winds are expected to spread 
westward within the warning area tonight and through the weekend.  
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area on Sunday.
 
RAINFALL:  Through Monday, Enrique is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches over Colima and coastal sections of Michoacan and Jalisco in
southwest Mexico. These amounts would likely produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides over portions of
southwestern Mexico.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Enrique will affect the southwestern
coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely 
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Friday, 03-Dec-2021 12:09:42 UTC