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HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052021
0300 UTC MON JUN 28 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PLAYA PERULA TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO PLAYA PERULA MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PLAYA PERULA
* CABO CORRIENTES TO PUNTA MITA MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA MITA TO SAN BLAS MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ENRIQUE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 106.0W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 360SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 106.0W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 105.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.3N 106.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.9N 106.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.6N 107.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.4N 108.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.3N 109.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 24.4N 110.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 26.0N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 106.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 28/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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