ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052021
0900 UTC SUN JUN 27 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO TO PUNTA MITA MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA MITA TO SAN BLAS MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 106.0W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 106.0W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 105.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.5N 106.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.4N 106.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.1N 107.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.7N 107.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.3N 108.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.1N 109.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 23.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 24.7N 112.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 106.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 27/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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