ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142021               
0900 UTC TUE SEP 14 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  2   X( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  2   4( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  5   7(12)   3(15)   1(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34 11  14(25)   4(29)   X(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
LAKE CHARLES   50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAMERON LA     34 15  12(27)   2(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
JASPER TX      34 18   9(27)   1(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
JASPER TX      50  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34 61   7(68)   1(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
KOUNTZE TX     50  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 58  10(68)   1(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GALVESTON TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GALVESTON TX   50 55   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
 
HOUSTON TX     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOUSTON TX     50 44   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 
FREEPORT TX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FREEPORT TX    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FREEPORT TX    64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 11   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
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