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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
0300 UTC WED SEP 01 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  23.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   0 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  23.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  22.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.6N  25.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 12.8N  29.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.2N  32.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.8N  35.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.5N  37.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.4N  40.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N  44.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 20.7N  47.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N  23.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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