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TROPICAL STORM KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102021
1500 UTC MON AUG 30 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  50.9W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  50.9W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  50.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 22.3N  50.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 23.3N  50.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 24.3N  50.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.5N  51.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.9N  52.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 28.4N  54.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 32.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 37.0N  53.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N  50.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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