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Tropical Storm ELSA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052021               
0900 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
39.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   2( 2)  32(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   7( 7)  44(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X  19(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X  20(20)  13(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X  37(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  1  61(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X  26(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X  27(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  1  32(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  1   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CONCORD NH     34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PORTSMOUTH NH  34 13   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
WORCESTER MA   34 18   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
SPRINGFIELD MA 34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BOSTON MA      34 32   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 64   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
HYANNIS MA     50  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 73   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
NANTUCKET MA   50  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34 49   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 
BRIDGEPORT CT  34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEW HAVEN CT   34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
HARTFORD CT    34 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
NEW LONDON CT  34 24   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 59   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
ISLIP NY       34  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 20   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 15   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
DOVER DE       34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 18   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Tuesday, 30-Nov-2021 12:09:11 UTC