ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM ELSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052021
1500 UTC THU JUL 08 2021
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER...SOUTH CAROLINA...TO SANDY HOOK...NEW JERSEY
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC SOUTH
OF COBB ISLAND
* DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH
* LONG ISLAND FROM EAST ROCKAWAY INLET TO THE EASTERN TIP ALONG THE
SOUTH SHORE AND FROM PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN...CONNECTICUT TO MERRIMACK RIVER...MASSACHUSETTS
INCLUDING
CAPE COD...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  79.7W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  79.7W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N  80.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 37.3N  77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 40.6N  72.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 44.5N  67.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 49.0N  59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 140SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 53.5N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 59.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N  79.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN