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TROPICAL STORM NORBERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192020
1500 UTC TUE OCT 06 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 106.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 106.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 106.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.4N 106.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.5N 106.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 14.7N 106.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 14.8N 106.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 15.0N 107.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.2N 107.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 15.7N 109.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 16.1N 110.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 106.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO
 
 
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