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HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
2100 UTC SAT OCT 03 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 127.3W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 360SE 300SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 127.3W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 127.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.8N 128.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.6N 129.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.3N 130.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.9N 131.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.5N 133.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.0N 134.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 24.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 25.5N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 127.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/BERG
 
 
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