ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Genevieve Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP122020
600 PM MDT Wed Aug 19 2020
 
...OUTER RAINBANDS PRODUCING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 600 PM MDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.7N 110.0W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Southern Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to Todos
Santos
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of the Baja California peninsula from north of
Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The east coast of the Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles
to La Paz
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24
hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 600 PM MDT (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Genevieve was located
near latitude 21.7 North, longitude 110.0 West. Genevieve is moving
toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A turn toward the
northwest is expected tonight, with this motion continuing through
Saturday.  On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is
expected to pass just to the southwest and west of the southern
portion of the Baja California peninsula tonight and Thursday, and
move away from the peninsula on Friday.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected tonight,
with gradual weakening anticipated Thursday through Friday.
Genevieve is expected to remain a hurricane while it passes just to
the southwest and west of the southern Baja California peninsula.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km). A sustained wind of 37 mph (60 km/h) and a gust to
48 mph (77 km/h) were recently reported in Los Cabos, Baja
California Sur.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area tonight and Thursday.  Tropical storm conditions will
spread northward within the warning area in the southern Baja
California peninsula through Thursday.  Tropical storm conditions
are possible within the watch area later tonight or Thursday
morning, especially over higher terrain.
 
RAINFALL:  Genevieve is expected to produce rainfall amounts of
3 to 6 inches with isolated totals of 10 inches across portions of
far southern Baja California Sur. This rainfall may lead to life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
 
SURF:  Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of
the west-central coast of Mexico and are spreading northward along
the coast of the Baja California peninsula.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Stewart
 
NNNN