ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE IOTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL312020
2100 UTC SUN NOV 15 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PROVIDENCIA
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO
SANDY BAY SIRPI
* THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN ANDRES
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF SANDY BAY SIRPI TO BLUEFIELDS
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA PATUCA TO PUNTA
CASTILLA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IOTA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  79.3W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  79.3W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  78.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.6N  80.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.0N  82.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.3N  83.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.4N  84.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.3N  86.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.1N  87.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N  79.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 16/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN