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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0900 UTC TUE NOV 10 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...MAYABEQUE...PINAR
DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ETA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  85.5W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   0 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  85.5W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  85.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.1N  85.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.0N  85.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.0N  85.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.0N  85.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.8N  85.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 27.3N  85.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 28.8N  86.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 30.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  85.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 10/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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