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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0300 UTC TUE NOV 10 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...MAYABEQUE...PINAR
DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ETA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  85.2W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  40SE  30SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  85.2W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.4N  85.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.8N  85.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 23.4N  85.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.6N  85.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 25.8N  85.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.6N  85.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.0N  85.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 27.7N  85.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 29.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N  85.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 10/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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